The Almelo Hip Fracture Score (AHFS) - Evidencio
The Almelo Hip Fracture Score (AHFS)
The AHFS can identify frail elderly at high risk of early mortality following hip fracture surgery accurately. With the AHFS, the patient can be classified into the low, medium or high risk group, which contributes to enhanced quality of care in clinical practice.

Note: The AHFS score still needs further (external) validation, and clinical evaluation before it can support decision making. 
Research authors: W.S. Nijmeijer, E.C. Folbert, M. Vermeer, J.P. Slaets, J.H. Hegeman
Version: 1.11
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The AHFS showed a good discrimination with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82 on internal validation, and was higher than the adjusted Nottingham Hip Fracture Score (NHFS-a), which showed an AUC of 0.72. 

The AHFS identifies patients at low, medium, and high risk using the following thresholds: 

  • Low risk: AHFS ≤9 points
  • Medium risk: AHFS 10-12 points
  • High risk: AHFS ≥13 points
The 9 point threshold (low risk) represents a sensitivity of 78.1%, specificity of 72.5%, PPV of 18.8%, and a NPV of 97.6% in comparison with the other groups.
The 13 point threshold (high risk) represents a sensitivity of 42.2%, specificity of 92.5%, PPV of 31.4%, and a NPV of 95.2% in comparison with the other groups.

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This algorithm is provided for educational, training and information purposes. It must not be used to support medical decision making, or to provide medical or diagnostic services. Read our full disclaimer.

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