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Predicted risk: ...
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Predicted risk:
Outcome stratification
Conditional information
Result interpretation
Overall information regarding the model:
The model was based on 2,892 cases of DCIS and 589 events of underestimated invasive breast cancer. The predicted risks in our study ranged from 9.5% to 80.2%, the mean was 20.6% and the median was 14.7%. The c-index was 0.668 and it was 0.661 after correction for optimism by bootstrapping. In this study the sensitivity was the rate of underestimates that was correctly predicted as high-risk and 1-specificity was the rate of DCIS at excision that was falsely predicted as high-risk. The model has not been validated externally.
How to use the model:
The model can be used to calculate the individual risk of underestimation based on routinely available pre-operatively known risk factors
Calculations alone should never dictate patient care, and are no substitute for professional judgement. See our full disclaimer.
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