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Calculated risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula: ...
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Calculated risk of postoperative pancreatic fistula:
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Outcome stratification
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Result interpretation
How this model should be used:
This validated fistula risk model allows for prediction of POPF during surgery based on pancreatic texture, pancreatic duct diameter, and BMI.
Model performance:
Discrimination of the model was good with an AUC of 0.75 (95% CI: 0.71-0.78) after internal validation, 0.78 [0.74-0.82] after external validation. The predictive capacity of a-FRS was comparable with the original-FRS, both for the 2005 definition (AUC 0.78 vs. 0.75, P = 0.03), and 2016 definition (AUC 0.72 vs. 0.70, P = 0.05).
Source:
Mungroop et al, Annals of Surgery, 2017.
Calculations alone should never dictate patient care, and are no substitute for professional judgement. See our full disclaimer.
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