Risk of postoperative complications after hepato-pancreato-biliary surgery - Evidencio
Risk of postoperative complications after hepato-pancreato-biliary surgery (HPB-RISC)
This model calculates the risk of postoperative complications after hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) surgery.
Research authors: Samim M, Mungroop TH, AbuHilal M, Isfordink CJ, Molenaar IQ, van der Poel MJ, Armstrong TA, Takhar AS, Pearce NW, Primrose JN, Harris S, Verkooijen HM, Gulik TM, Hagendoorn J, Busch OR, Johnson CD, and Besselink MG.
Version: 1.32
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Postoperative risk of complications following HPB-surgery:

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How this model should be used: 
This model calculates the risk of postoperative complications after hepato-pancreato-biliary (HPB) surgery.

Relevant context information:
Surgeons’ assessment resulted in an AUC of 0.64; 0.71 for liver surgery and 0.56 for pancreas surgery (P=0.02). The AUCs for 9 existing risk prediction models ranged between 0.51-0.73; 0.57-0.73 for liver and 0.51-0.57 for pancreas surgery.

Model performance:
The current HPB-RISC model resulted in an AUC of 0.70 (95% CI 0.62-0.78); 0.62 for liver and 0.70 for pancreas surgery and outperformed surgeons’ assessment for pancreas surgery (P = 0.01).

Source: 
Samim M, Mungroop TH, AbuHilal M. Surgeons’ assessment versus prognostic risk models for predicting complications of hepato-pancreato- biliary surgery (HPB-RISC): a multicenter prospective cohort study. Submitted.

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This algorithm is provided for educational, training and information purposes. It must not be used to support medical decision making, or to provide medical or diagnostic services. Read our full disclaimer.

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